New Regional Order

Amidst altering International Order, our region South Asia (SA) also seemed to be heading for a new Regional order. Historically, SA had a mercantile significance becuase in the centuries old age of sail, natural monsoon, powerful winds and sea currents favoured the sea voyages in Indian Ocean. Indian Ocean remained a conduit for trade between better developed Atlantic and Pacific regions but ironically it itself remained conflict prone and least integrated apparently due to great games and geopolitics of the developed world. In the changed environment, SA would have economic significance as fossil fuels as well as mineral riches were endowed to this region. With the rise of China and contestation of this development by the US, the region once again was coming to the forefront. IOR region was already projected as centre stage of rivalry for 21st century. A day did not pass without a new development in this regard. Sino-India stand off in Ladakh, Indian change in status of IOK & Ladakh, new found US’ love for autonomy of Hong Kong and US desire to declare Tibet as independent country were the moves on the same chess board. Rise of China will never go uncontested and the game was already on. IOK, Ladakh, Aksai Chin and Tibet are getting in focus. The target was rise of China and scuttling of CPEC/ BRI was the mean to that end. Following focators would dictate the new regional order:

– Rise of China was a given reality, while degree and form of contestation would impact the entire region.

– Pakistan for over 4 decades as an ally won the wars for ungrateful US. Thanks God now India was on that route. On behest of the US, India would contest rise of China and would get it’s due share. Happy to see India doing dirty job.

– Incase this contestation went in favour of China which was most likely then the US would further shrink to its home base and India would face the wrath of China.

– For quite some time India had played a dirty role in Afghanistan. With deinduction of the US from Afghanistan, India would be cut to size in Afghanistan.

Prior to 1947 division of subcontinent, major drivers of conflict in our region were presence of Britain in the region, great games of superpowers and prolonged instability in Afghansitan. After 1947, major drivers of conflict were, division of the subcontinent, unfinished agenda of this division in shape of political conflicts and non-reconcilation of India. India thus picked up issues with all its neighbours.

Drawing strength from China erstwhile vassal states of India like Nepal were now staring India in its eyes.

In sum India would have a reduced role in new regional order which would be dominated by China. Last battle of Cold War was won by the US in this region which devastated Pakistan. The US’ Waterloo would also be fought in this region but hopefully this time not Pakistan but India would get the battering.

Stray Reflections and Random Thoughts

Through my reflections, I noticed that my mind is in fact a, “wandering falcon”, “a restless ocean”, “an oscillating energy”, “an unbridled horse”. It randomly switches from one thought to another. There is no definite and fixed pattern or subject. It roams around in a strange but very exciting way. If I leave it to wander it takes me to very different memory lanes or thoughts with no linkage or pattern. Around a decade ago, I conceived the idea to start recording my thoughts and titled these as, Random Thoughts. Before I could put my idea into action, I was pleasantly surprised to know about Allama Muhammad Iqbal’s book, “Stray Reflections”. This was indeed a great booster for my latent idea.

There was yet another pleasant surprise once I received this book from a friend. The book has been edited by Dr Javed Iqbal son of Sir Allama Muhammad Iqbal from the handwritten note book of the great philosopher. Allama Iqbal initially titled the notebook as, “Stray Thoughts” and then replaced word ‘thoughts’ by ‘refelctions’. Original idea of Allama Iqbal was even more closer to mine.

In one of his stray reflections, Allama Muhammad Iqbal said, “Belief is a great power. When I see that a proposition of mine is believed by another mind, my own conviction of its truth is thereby immensely increased”. The kind of increase in conviction of my belief was more than immense, once I saw that my proposition was also believed by great mind like Allam Iqbal. I am no where near to great philosopher but this small peck of germination of thought boosted my confidence.

My blog is in fact a manifestation of same idea. I found blog a good mean to record my Random Thoughts. One day these might be published in form of a book.

Intelligent use of Intelligence

https://sammilogger.blog/2019/06/14/the-future/

Mother nature blessed homo-sapiens with intelligence. That’s the attribute which makes them special and distinct amongst other animals. Homo-sapiens were given free will and choice to make use of this intelligence. One scholar gave a different perspective to banishment of Adam and Eve from the heavens. He said, it wasn’t as a result of punishment meted to them for a wrong decision. Mother nature, rather put them through a test of taking independent decision. On incitement of devil, once they made an independent decision, they passed the test and they were deemed fit to be descended to planet Earth.

Intelligence which was meant to exercise judgements, enjoy free will, explore universe, improve blessings of mother nature, brought humans, rather in conflict with nature. Human intelligence became anti-nature. Human actions started impinging upon delicate and fine balance created by mother nature in every system. Starting from localised effects, human actions have now started affecting balance in global systems. Depletion of Ozone, degradation of environment, chaotization of weather and disruption of ecosystems are a few of man made disasters. Once Adam was being banished from heavens, angels protested that humans will create conflict on planet Earth. We successfully passed that test too.

Indeed mother nature is all aware and the wisest. It’s hard to comprehend the design of mother nature. Misuse of intelligence was preordianed by mother nature. Either mother nature will continue to make interventions for course corrections or she will leave humans on self-destruction course. It might happen that ultimately human actions create so much of imbalance in systemic balance that every thing falls on to itself.

In my above quoted blog, I mentioned that, “Harari talks about End of History (Farncis Fukuyama also did) and says that ….and if the failure of history to come to its envisioned happy ending can only mean that it is hurtling towards Armageddon. We pray a wise interjection by God or by us humans takes us farther from this apocalyptic route”.

A prayer never envisions a negative outcome. If COVID 19 is an intervention by mother nature, so it be. For sure it is for overall good of destructive homo-sapiens. The attached clip is worth watching and relating to my writings. Allah may bless us all.

STEPHEN HAWKING: THE MIND BEYOND MAN

’99 percent of humans take birth, eat, sleep, produce children and die. Only 1 percent contribute towards humanity’. Anonymous

Stephen Hawking who passed away recently on 14 March 2018, (the day also known as Pi Day in the world of mathematics) was amongst the one percent who lived to contribute towards wellbeing of humankind. He was regarded as one of the most brilliant theoretical physicists since Einstein. He contributed tremendously as a cosmologist, an author and Director of Research at the Centre of Theoretical Cosmology of Cambridge University. In his illustrious career, for 30 years he held the coveted position of Lucasian Professorship of Mathematics in University of Cambridge, a post once held by Sir Isaac Newton and Paul Dirac. He was conferred with eighteen top research awards from 1966 to 2015. Although he regretted not getting Nobel Prize, as he himself said, ‘I think most theoretical physicists would agree that my prediction of quantum emissions from black holes is correct, though it has so far not earned me a Nobel Prize because it is very difficult to verify it experimentally’. He has been a rare combination of physical disability and mental brilliance as he was called a disabled genius.

He was born in Oxford on 8 January 1942 (exactly after three hundred years of death of Galileo) in an erudite family of UK, though not financially well off. His ancestors had couple of bouts of bankruptcy which compelled his father for extra toil to support his parents. His childhood memories, included, his complaint to parents that teachers were not teaching him anything, his love for the toys especially infatuation for an electric train and his inquisitiveness about how things worked for which he would take them apart and was not good at putting them back together again. At 10, he qualified eleven-plus intelligence exam meant to sort out children suited for academic education. At 13 his father expected him to enter Westminster School for which he had to win scholarship as his parents could not afford it. In 1959, at young age of 17, he managed to fulfil his father’s desire by entering Oxford University. On vacations following his graduation, he travelled to Turkey and Iran. In Iran he had a narrow escape of life once caught in Bou’in-Zahra earthquake of 7.1 magnitude. In 1962, he entered Cambridge University for his masters and PhD. Besides his amazing contributions in the field of astronomy and mathematics he has left certain lessons for the mortal humans.

While at Oxford, at 20, he started becoming clumsy in his movements ie tumbling here and there and unable to perform routine functions of neuro muscular coordination. He was diagnosed with a rare disorder called Motor Neuron Disease (known in US as Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis – ALS). His muscles were wearing down. Doctors suggested that he may not survive for more than couple of years. He described these agonizing moments in his memoir, ‘My dreams at that time, however, were rather disturbed….shortly after I came out from hospital, I dreamed that I was going to be executed. I suddenly realized that there were a lot of worthwhile things I could do if I was reprieved. Another dream I had several times was that I would sacrifice my life to save others. After all, if I was going to die anyway, I might as well do something good’. He and his family were devastated by this crushing reality. No one knew at that time how this young man will defy death and become one of greatest minds of his time.

An ordinary mortal will give up on everything and start winding up for life hereafter. But this brilliant mind took a different course. Despite the disease, he got back to his research at Cambridge. He married and produced three children. He chose to rise as the greatest physicist. His works included, research on Gravitational Waves, Big Bang, History of time, Black Holes, Theory of Relativity and Quantum Theory. I was introduced to him in 1986 through his phenomenal book, A Brief History of Time: From Big Bang to Black Holes, to which I was drawn due my interest in black holes. The book was published in 1982, which was an international best seller and stayed on Sunday Times best seller list for 237 weeks. In his life time, he yearned for a unified theory through which he believed we would really know the mind of the God regarding creation of universe. He worked a lot on possibility of travelling back in time. He finally concluded that it may never be possible to go back in time. His other books included, Black Holes and the Baby Universe, The Universe in a Nutshell and the Grand Design.

In his professional career, he was such a spirited and lively man that most of the times he ran into bets with his colleagues on theoretical issues. His professional journey was by no means free of troubles. Two thirds of his life, he spent on a wheel chair. In 1979, once he was 37, his wife felt convinced that he was going die very soon, so she desired to marry another person who would support her and children once he was gone. The great man did not object to it. Many a times he had a narrow miss with death. He had choking fits, attacks of pneumonia, low oxygen levels, went on ventilators, and had tracheotomy. One odd time doctors proclaimed him dead and wanted to remove his ventilator, but his wife refused, and he bounced back. His speech had become slurred and tracheotomy had removed his ability to speak altogether. He could only communicate with special computers, equalizers, synthesizers and with his eye lid gestures – the only motor function which stayed on. He was kept on life support medical interventions, but his outstanding mind was never there to give in. On divorcing his first wife he married a nurse who also got divorced in 2007 from whereon he lived alone with a housekeeper.

Super performance of a mind afflicted with debilitating and crippling physical disabilities is indeed outlandish. He led an accomplished life. He married twice and had three well accomplished children. He had a successful scientific career. He said that he had a satisfying and fulfilling life. He extensively travelled to include, seven times to Soviet Union, six times to Japan, three times to China, every continent including Antarctica, with exception of Australia. He met Presidents of South Korea, China, India, Ireland, Chile and the US. He had been under the sea in a submarine and up in a hot air balloon and a zero-gravity flight. His early works showed that classical general relativity broke down at singularities in the Big Bang and black holes. His later work had shown how quantum theory could predict what happened at the beginning and the end of time. He said in his memoir, ‘It has been a glorious time to be alive and doing research in theoretical physics. I am happy if I have added something to our understanding of universe’.

Stephen Hawking exemplified that mind is the real power a human is endowed by providence. With crippling Motor Neuron disease, he not only defied death for over 55 years but also optimally utilized outstanding power of his mind. The usual dictum, ‘healthy body carries healthy mind’ may be rephrased as, ‘a strong mind can take care of a weak body’. His happiness and satisfaction with life, notwithstanding his crippling disease is amazing; what an epitome of GRATEFULNESS? Towards end of his memoirs he calls his disability as an asset because he could focus on research without wasting time elsewhere. WHAT A POSTIVITY? He says disabled people should concentrate on things that their handicap doesn’t prevent them from doing and not regret those they cannot do. WHAT A POWERFUL MESSAGE? All these aspects serve as big lessons for us. We ought to be grateful for whatever we are blessed with, we ought to be positive and we ought to rely on power of our mind.

Topsy Turvy

Nature has it’s own ways to defy human-made conventions. Pre-COVID, certain functions of life that looked a blessing now seem to be a curse. Conversely, a few which were seen as a curse have transformed into a blessing.

Prior to COVID, life style of the Westerners seemed enviable. They had practically all blessings one could dream of. They would enjoy life on monthly basis and never felt a need to save for the rainy days. Infact they had altogether lost the sense of rainy days.

Surprisingly, in face of COVID those who couldn’t enjoy luxurious lives are displaying better immunity system and defence against virus. While, those who were blessed with luxuries are suffering due to weak immunity system. Those living in developed world have lived in a disease free environment which has weakened their immune system. In face of pandemic they are displaying weak resistance. And those who have lived in diseased environment are coping well with the virus.

At state level, low exports were seen as a curse for state economy. Whereas in face of COVID, economy of states with low exports seems insulated against financial shock given by COVID.

Spring used to be most colourful and lively season of the year. This time around, spring looks more like autum.

God may take us out of this situation sooner than later. Amen

A Springtumn

Spring and autum are two opposing seasons. While spring signifies growth and development, autum speaks of fall and retraction. Spring is the season of new beginnings. It’s the most colourful season where nature is at it’s best. Fresh buds sprout and the mother Earth seems to come to life again. New trees are planted and all around there is happiness.

Contrarily autumn represents the preservation of life and spells gloominess. During this time, animals prepare for the winter by storing food and creating cozy hibernation spaces. Farmers work on their fall harvest by collecting a reserve of crops. We also tend to retreat indoors and focus on cultivating a safe and comforting home. In a way, the autumn season offers us a chance to reconnect with ourselves as we preserve our safe havens.

Spring is historically a time for celebrations, rejoicing and festivals. In many cultures spring is welcome through celebrations like NAUROZ. However, this time round a rare thing is happening. The spring has become modular. It has different meanings for different modules of life. All that was created by mother nature for service of human beings is rejuvenating, recuperating, blossoming as part of the spring but homosapeins have retracted like autum and are gloomy. How strange that for the planet Earth it is season of spring whereas the beneficiary of spring ie Humans are locked down. For humans it is autum where as for rest all living and non living organisms it is spring.

This combination of two seasons may look bizarre but it is eye-opening too. For centuries we were accustomed to distinct spring and autumn but this is power of nature that it can merge the seasons, put these upside-down or anything which we cannot even contemplate. God doesn’t feel that we deserve to enjoy a season, He had created for us. We shall see blossoming flowers through our windows but we shall not be able to touch and feel them. First time in centuries Netherlands known for Tulips and flowers has decided to demolish all pots and nurseries.

While we have retracted under compulsion, we should reconnect with our Creator and let mother planet recoup and refresh from the damages we have inflicted onto it in centuries.

While we are confined we should reflect and contemplate, on; not to abuse the Mother Earth, not to waste resources available on the surface of Mother Earth by living on NEEDS and not on DESIRES. For example, if oil is used with same lavishness, we shall starve in 100 years. In this rush of life we should find time for our Creator, our selves and our dear ones. All humans must live in harmony regardless of race colour or religious inclinations.

It is for sure that “this too shall pass” but it will for sure leave behind new lessons. Allah may bless all.

A God’s Convo

In an unprecedented environment, the God calls for an urgent meeting of His deputies. On the stipulated day, God assumes His throne and His key deputies take their positions. God opens the convo with a melancholy never witnessed before. He says, look we had created humans and blessed them a planet so that they may enjoy their lives and be grateful to Us. Contrarily, you see how they have devastated My masterpiece planet; Earth. The most confidant disciple, scaringly intervenes and quips, Oh my Lord, I feel, homosapiens have made a few improvements also. Indeed, you are right replies the God, however, what ever improvements they have made have made them haughty. They are calling themselves as Homo-Deus. They started challenging mother nature. You all are very well aware that, mother nature does what is good for its creations, it never does what is liked by them. We bestowed intelligence upon the humans so that they may explore nature but they started challenging and contesting nature.

God continued His convo and said, look, mother nature always made interventions whenever humans went astray. Interventions included benevolence as well as wrath. Benevolence was in the form of My prophets that I descended on to them. Wrath was in the form of catastrophies to make them realise. You see, just about a millennia ago, I sent them my dearest and last prophet; Muhamamd. He taught them the best code for leading life. You may have noticed that even his followers have betrayed his teachings. I met him other day. Even, he is utterly dissatisfied with his followers. Conduct of Muslims is diametrically opposite to what they were taught by him.

The senior most and the oldest disciple supporting the point of view of God said that, indeed humans have created mayhem on planet earth. They are ruthlessly trampling rights of fellow sapiens. They are crushing the weak instead of caring for them. The rulers are self-serving and do not act as viceroy assigned by You. On going bloodshed is blemishing the face of Earth. Even women, innocent children and elderly are not being spared. They are polluting thoughts, rivers, environment, behaviours and all the systems. Their minuscule inventions have made them proud. You see, my Lord, their eminent scientist: Stephen Hawking even dared to say that, “laws of physics are good enough to run the universe, God is redundant”. We had to call him up here to correct his thoughts. Oh my Lord, I am sure Your majesty will recall once you created humans, a few of us objected to it and opined that humans will create mayhem on earth. Iblis was even punished for his unflinching resistance. He further said, “we admit that Iblis was grossly wrong and he earned Your wrath. But Oh my Lord, it is a fact that humans are testing your patience”.

God replied emphatically, you all are unaware of my designs. Iblis rightly earned my wrath. I very well know limitations of my creations. Humans are my best creation but they too are not free of ills. Indeed, humans have turned to be the most dangerous specie on planet Earth. They are a danger to all other species, to nature, to universe and to their own dwelling ie planet Earth. But you all just relax, the measures to tame this beast are also part of my design.

God continued His convo with furious looks and said, “I have decided to make an intervention”. Its essentially required, now. Humans have earned it. Lest it gets too late, I need to make corrections to their path. You see, one of the segments of homo-sapiens do not even accept my existence. In the world they are called, atheists or whatever. Look at their dietary habits. They damn well eat every moving thing. I created various species with a definite purpose. I ordained some of them not to be eaten so that these are spared to perform their assigned role. Humans on the whole are creating a serious imbalance in animal kingdom of the world in particular and all other systems in general.

You recall some time ago, We noticed waywardness in sexual behaviour of humans and we sent down disease of AIDS to put them right. Now is another time for My wrath. A couple of kind hearted disciples begged the God for mercy and benevolence. God replied, no one can love My creatures more than I do. This is also part of My love that I mete punishments to bring them to right path. If I let them go astray, it would mean I dont love them.

God said, one thing is for sure that the time is up. I want you to send down my wrath to bring them back to basics. To make them realise that what ever they achieve, they are still subservient to Us. Let’s initiate the wrath from those who are extremely wayward in dietary habits. Make them realise to spare certain species for the purpose they have been created for. Do it through a tiniest organism to make sapiens realise their worth.

I also want, God said, that, humans should be made to retract. Movement should cease and humans should get confined to their dwellings. On one hand humans will learn to be humble, spend greater time in reflections and on other hand mother planet will get time to recoup.

God passed His injunctions and called off the meeting.

Inverse FUTURE SHOCK

The self confinement imposed by COVID-19 reminds me of 1984 book Future Shock authored by Alvin Toffler.

He coined and used the term “Future Shock” to describe, “the psychological and physiological effects that occur when the base of a culture moves faster than the ideological superstructure; it causes cultural anxiety. More narrowly it was understood that new technology was outpacing the understanding of it that could occur. An individual experiencing future shock can feel like an alien in their own territory”.

COVID-19, I believe has brought in its wake an ‘Inverse Future Shock’. It is not caused by super technologies rather it is being caused by inaptness and ineffectiveness of super technologies. Technological pronouncements of mighty SAPIENS have been laid threadbare. Mighty Sapiens trying to conquer Mars have been rendered helpless infront of a micro-micro organism. It speaks of absolute subservience of human being infront of mother nature.

COVID-19 is teaching us new protocols. How we meet?, how we socialise?, how we move? and how we conduct our lives? all is being altered. The book Future Shock basically focused on element of ‘change’ which occures in our lives. The author described nature of a society alongwith probable rate of change. He first talked of agrarian society, where an individual faces minimal change. Round the clock, he interacts with small coterie. Minimal move, minimal change and minimal pressures. Then he talked about semi-developed society. In this case after couple of years the individual is relocated to a new place. He is faced with more frequent movement, more change and more pressures. Finally he talked about super-industrialised society. In this case there is tremendous movement, very high rate of change and very high pressures. Owing to mutiple factors like industrial progress, prosperity and materialism; human’s life had become maddening race. We were overpowered by events thus by high rate of change. Unwittingly, we seemingly struggle to keep pace with demands of life. COVID-19, besides numerous ill-effects has brought a welcome change too. We are confined to our homes. We are giving greater time to families. We are moving less. We are in no hassle. We are not overpowered by events. In nutshell there is a soothing and calming effect on agitated, frustrated and excited Sapiens. If we manage to throw out fear and scare of COVID-19, I feel life won’t be bad. Although, for sure very soon this pandemic will be over and once again we shall board, ‘bullet train’ of life and start running again. Till then enjoy please.

Churchill made a profound statement during World War 2 ”Never let a good crisis go waste”. Very meaningful and thought provoking. Isn’t it?

COVID-19

Nature has it’s own ways to impose caution on our wayward behaviours and also teach us lessons. It has happened with previous generations and it is happening with us too. COVID-19 has emerged and created panic on the globe. It has brought in its wake; financial as well as social crisis. Age old practices of socialising, travelling, hugging and hand shake are being abandoned. I hope its temporary but that’s how it is. The nature is teaching us importance of hygiene and sanitation. Taking a cue from Allama Iqbal, Mahmood (the elite) as well as Ayyaz (the commoners) are equally getting exposed to this pandemic. People like Tom Hanks, spouse of Justin Trudeau and Ronaldo have contracted/ suspected of this virus. Though it isnt as deadly as being perceived. However, in Post-Truth era, perceptions matter more than reality and the former drive the decisions and not the later. That’s what is happening. There are contrasting predictions vis, 70 percent of population on the globe will contract the virus within 2020 and COVID-19 will settle as temperatures rise. I subscribe more to second prediction. There are a few thought provoking patterns. Virus spreading along Latitude 40°

Is it related to temperatures? Is it a strange pattern? Are thoughts which come to mind

There are three major blobs of spread ie China, Europe and North America. Again a strange pattern. Is it related to dietary waywardness? Are these countries eating wrong animals?

One hopes and prays that global efforts succeed in quelling this pandemic. China and South Korea are making better progress than few other countries. It’s a change and those who are better prepared to meet this change will fare better and those who are be- fooling themselves will cut a sorry figure. COVID-19 can also serve as tool in hands of inimical forces to create mayhem, disorder, chaos and harm to people.

A Way to Go Down in Glory

I won’t die in an accident, I will go down in glory #NomanAkram

Last decade and a half we have been daily losing our sons. Nation’s success against War on Terror is attributable to blood offered by young sons of this motherland. Officer to men ratio of laying down lives is highest in Pakistan’s war against terror in comparison to any other war of history of mankind. Our youth isn’t shying away, in any way from meeting the challenge. I feel youth of this nation is telling enemies of motherland that they should stop dreaming of damaging Pakistan. We shall rise to any level to beat their designs. Allah be willing.

Last two days we faced news of enviable martyrdom of two sons of soil. Col Mujeeb ur Rehman and Wing Commander Noman Akram. What a pain it gives to see them departing. 12 year old son of Col Mujeeb ur Rehman requesting an uncle at funeral not to tell his younger siblings as to what had happened to their father. Oh my God even thought of such a request by a juvenile is so unbearable. Tears filling eyes is involuntary. Particularly, Wing Commander Noman Akram was like to son to me. 1994, his father (then Lt Col) Muhammad Akram Khan was commanding my regiment. I had seen him as a promising young lad. He was brought up infront of us. He joined Pakistan Air Force to pursue his passion. He was a daring man. He gave his life like a hero. Death is inevitable, it’s only the form of death which makes one distinct from another. There is no better death than a martyrdom and that of a hero. It can be called a blessed death. The loss of a life is irreparable, particularly in view of family and children he or she leaves behind. However, there are deaths which leave them proud. The way Wing Commander Noman Akram laid down his life while saving others’ is an epitome of supreme sacrifice. Its only greatest people who rise to this level.

Allah may bless souls of Col Mujeeb ur Rehman and Wing Commander Noman Akram. Allah may also save us from seeing our sons departing. Allah may also bless us a resolve to support the bereaved families. Ameen